Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 11

Published 7:17 pm Friday, January 10, 2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-17) are 1.5-point favorites as they try to continue a three-game win streak when they host the Memphis Grizzlies (24-14) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Target Center. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on FDSN and FDSSE.

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 114 – Grizzlies 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-0.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.9
  • The Timberwolves have covered less often than the Grizzlies this year, putting up an ATS record of 15-22-0, compared to the 24-14-0 mark of the Grizzlies.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Minnesota (12-19) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (38.7%) than Memphis (7-5) does as the underdog (58.3%).
  • When it comes to going over the over/under in 2024-25, Memphis and its opponents are more successful (63.2% of the time) than Minnesota and its opponents (45.9%).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Grizzlies are 5-7, while the Timberwolves are 18-13 as moneyline favorites.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves have been led by their defense, as they rank fourth-best in the NBA by allowing just 107.2 points per game. They rank 22nd in the league in points scored (108.9 per contest).
  • Minnesota is grabbing 43.6 boards per game (18th-ranked in league). It is allowing 43.3 rebounds per contest (eighth-ranked).
  • So far this year, the Timberwolves rank 22nd in the league in assists, dishing out 24.7 per game.
  • This year, Minnesota is averaging 15 turnovers per game (21st-ranked in NBA) and forcing 14.2 turnovers per contest (14th-ranked).
  • When it comes to three-point shooting, everything is clicking for the Timberwolves, who are making 15.1 threes per game (fourth-best in NBA) and shooting 37.7% from three-point land (fifth-best).

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

  • Offensively, the Grizzlies are the best team in the league (122.9 points per game). On defense, they are 21st (114.8 points allowed per game).
  • Memphis is the second-best squad in the league in rebounds per game (48.6) and is ranked 10th in rebounds conceded (43.5).
  • This season the Grizzlies are second-best in the league in assists at 30 per game.
  • In 2024-25, Memphis is second-worst in the league in turnovers committed (16.6 per game) but fifth-best in turnovers forced (15.7).
  • Beyond the arc, the Grizzlies are 12th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (13.9). They are 10th in 3-point percentage at 36.8%.

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